<https://medium.com/the-long-now-foundation/six-wa...
# thinking-together
a
https://medium.com/the-long-now-foundation/six-ways-to-think-long-term-da373b3377a4 prompt: how does this frame affect your thoughts about the future of programming?
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i
Re: affecting programming in this frame - less hype chasing, more deep knowledge, research and standardisation. The ego stance of “me and my ass” is affecting programming world a lot, especially through middle management. re: article - it’s surprisingly bad, 99 cent philosophy. I wrote a lenghty comment on HN about it, but I don’t think this article deserves even a minute more of my time considering how badly thought out it is. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23899952
k
I quite liked this article. It's stayed with me for the last couple of days. @Ian Rumac A few years ago I may have felt the same way, that it was just empty words and not very actionable. But I have a little more of a sense lately of how progress happens in the softer aspects of human endeavor, where the problems are harder and incremental progress is harder to measure. And yet, progress can happen if a new way of adding one more level of structure (such as decomposing "long-term thinking" into 6 pieces) can help people talk about things in just a little bit more detail, and influence how we make decisions. I think this dynamic may be a big part of why people tend to over-estimate what they can do in a month but under-estimate what they can do in a decade. Imperfections are easy to see, and it's easy to forget that progress can compound. Even for past me, though, there's one part that's unambiguously great: the way it lays out possible teleological goals of human existence: * God, the pearly gates and heaven. * Material goods. * Colonizing space. (see https://www.resilience.org/stories/2013-09-05/the-next-ten-billion-years) * New to this article, for me: keeping this planet thriving (though I've encountered echoes of it before in https://www.amazon.com/Manifold-Origin-Stephen-Baxter/dp/0345430808, now that I think about it) Just section 6 is worth the time spent on this article, IMO.
r
That next ten billion years link is a hell of a story... extremely depressing and yet oddly beautiful. It gives me "Pale Blue Dot" vibes. (It's always worth re-reading Carl Sagan every once and a while imo 😜 )
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k
This linked article is also quite thought-provoking with its radical new visualization of a city's usage and distribution patterns. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/08/amsterdam-doughnut-model-mend-post-coronavirus-economy
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